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Old 08-08-2011, 09:22 AM   #1
fjtorres
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Shatzkin on ebook cannibalization of print

http://www.idealog.com/blog/will-pri...the-same-books

Lots of subtleties in there.
Several points stand out:
- recently reported numbers for ebook percentages are catalog-wide averages
- ebook share of narrative text is much higher, closer to 30% by now
- narrative text print runs in decline; closing in on 50% from 2 years ago
- if narrative text ebook growth does not slow down *soon* narrative print will lose all profitability; the tipping point is near
- publishing ops might splinter into ebook-focused (low overhead) narrative text and print-focused (high-overhead) illustrated books
- illustrated book (cooking, kids, coffee table, etc) economics will be negatively impacted

And he's looking at a two-year window.
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Old 08-08-2011, 10:13 AM   #2
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I am pretty sure someone was negatively impacted when the Church and all those monks began to cannibalise the scroll business with books.

And very likely some talented calligraphers were marginalized by Gutenberg.

But back then, just as now, advancement was beneficial.
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Old 08-08-2011, 06:18 PM   #3
Scott Nicholson
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LOL phogg, good ones.

Those in the trenches realized the tipping point's approach would accelerate dramatically the closer it got, almost in an exponential manner
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