02-22-2012, 09:48 PM | #1 |
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Predict the Date: Two Millionth Forum Post...
We are around post #1,950,000, so when do you think we will hit that 2,000,000th post?
Follow-up to Countdown to Mobileread.com's (Public Forum) One-Millionth Post... Note: at the bottom of this linked page, in the "MobileRead Forums Statistics" section, the current number of Posts to date can be found! The method I use to determine that 2000000th post is illustrated below: It uses the "time span" the # posts left to reach 2,000,000 (call it 'D') is needed to reach today's post # from the past and represents that as 'G' days. Then, 'G' days from now becomes the predicted date. The first few times I have calculated these predictions have resulted in the same date i.e. April 1, 2012! EDIT: Actual winning date was April 3, 2012 (with post #208342 being posted by pdurrant). Perhaps his mod powers are greater than first thought! Last edited by nrapallo; 04-03-2012 at 06:17 PM. Reason: indicates the method I use to "predict" that date and charts the results!!! |
02-22-2012, 10:08 PM | #2 |
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Ok, I predict
Spoiler:
... No really!
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02-23-2012, 01:21 PM | #3 |
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I would like:
Spoiler:
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02-23-2012, 02:19 PM | #4 |
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I wonder if we should use "The Price is Right" rules, i.e. closes to, BUT NOT OVER!
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02-24-2012, 08:26 AM | #5 |
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April 6th, 2012. Obviously some may try to push that number quicker.
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02-27-2012, 05:56 PM | #6 |
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BTW, my prediction is still "right on target"....
Oh...., and in case of a tie, the earlier entry WINS........ Wins what? [bragging rights] |
02-27-2012, 06:30 PM | #7 |
Publishers are evil!
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$1
It won't let me post just characters. |
02-27-2012, 06:51 PM | #8 |
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April 8th
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03-01-2012, 08:47 AM | #9 |
Groupie
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I think on April 14
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03-01-2012, 08:52 AM | #10 |
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1,959,069 +a few probably.
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03-05-2012, 11:14 AM | #11 |
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Uncanning! still on track!!! See post #1 for the method I use to determine that 2000000th post.
It uses the "time span" the # posts left to reach 2,000,000 (call it 'D') is needed to reach today's post # from the past and represents that as 'G' days. Then, 'G' days from now becomes the predicted date. All the times I have updated these predictions have resulted in the same date i.e. April 1, 2012! Last edited by nrapallo; 03-12-2012 at 10:06 AM. |
03-06-2012, 08:53 AM | #12 |
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1,965,542
Looks like the pace is picking up slightly. It might be before the end of the month. |
03-12-2012, 10:14 AM | #13 |
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Twenty days to go, I think!
The updated results in post #1 still shows me that April 1, 2012 will be that date. Is the method I use "flawed" or are we at mobileread.com so damn consistently chatty.... p.s. just so that you know, the post # predicted as being the 2,000,000th keeps increasing as the forum software uses on post # for both the members and moderators sections. Whereas the Total Posts only uses member post and excludes all moderator posts in that post count. The post # itself doesn't, so we can indirectly infer the number of moderator and/or deleted posts as well. I know useless info, but someone has to keep these facts straight... ;rofl: |
03-14-2012, 02:12 AM | #14 |
It's about the umbrella
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03-14-2012, 03:46 PM | #15 |
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Hi dreamy dreams, ... oh, ... I'm not in a dream, ok then, Hi dreams!
Great guess! As I recall, you were so close to actually being the 1,000,000th poster in July 2010 with post#1010823 (my official prediction then)! |
Tags |
2000000, million, post, predict |
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