01-30-2013, 10:58 AM | #1 |
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10 Reasons Not to Buy Apple Stock Right Now
Given the Death Race schwantz measuring usually encountered in an Apple discussion on MR, I felt this article might be of interest because, though discouraging, it's by someone who's made his living using Apple computers for the past twenty years. Lately, he's been asking acquaintances on Facebook how they feel about the current line of ThinkPads.
10 Reasons Why Now Is Not A Good Time To Buy Apple Stock Last edited by Prestidigitweeze; 01-30-2013 at 11:16 AM. |
01-30-2013, 11:16 AM | #2 | ||||||
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Innovation is in the eye of the beholder and goes beyond phones/tablets. That said, as far as shares are concerned, it's a question of which segment of apple generates the highest revenue, if they stop innovating in that segment and growth drops, then I agree shares will likely take a hit. People just (incorrectly imo) raised their expectations as to the rate innovation should occur. Whether consumers will like their innovations is a totally different matter. Quote:
The competition still has a lot of ground to make up though. Especially in the app store market, despite other competitors having greater user bases, iOS is still ahead in terms of developer revenue, coupled with the ease of developing for iOS that's keeping it a very attractive platform for developers. Quote:
5/6/7/8 no real comment on. Quote:
My reason for not buying apple stock is that I can't see a sufficient continued growth that would provide a sizeable return unless you invested heavily and at the current share price that would mean a significant investment and associated risk. For long term investments I would assume there's a number of more attractive companies to spread your portfolio across. Quote:
Last edited by JoeD; 01-30-2013 at 11:29 AM. |
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01-30-2013, 11:25 AM | #3 |
Wizard
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Thanks for the link! Those concerns are fairly well-reasoned.
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01-30-2013, 11:34 AM | #4 | ||||
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One thing I'm very happy about is Apple's expansion of their music division. They've been acquiring some rather interesting companies of late where Logic is concerned, and their discontinuation of discreet mastering and soundtrack software suggests total integration in Logic 10. Quote:
Here's hoping that more of the same isn't too much to hope for. Last edited by Prestidigitweeze; 01-30-2013 at 11:41 AM. |
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02-04-2013, 10:45 AM | #5 |
tec montage
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Apple not go bankrupt
but many people lose much money on stock my estimate under 300 end of year 2013 200 to 250 end of 2014 unless a stampede some big problem then quicker big holders will try to ease drift down same thing as done with silver and other minerals and metals we see it all time very old tactic |
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02-04-2013, 11:33 AM | #6 |
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I visited my local shopping center Saturday night. The mall includes an Apple Store and a Microsoft Store. The Apple Store opened a decade ago. It's very sterile -- white everything with Apple products on tables and Geniuses scattered about. There was not a single customer in the store. I chatted with the Genius by the entrance who engaged me on the way past. He said business was good, but it was a slow night. I was not surprised that a computer store was not humming on a Saturday night in February.
As I continued towards the Food Court, I could hear loud music. It was coming from the Microsoft Store. The MS Store is similar to the Apple Store in size and color except that there is an Xbox room in the back, a customer service area in front of that and huge monitors completely covering the perimeter. And it was full of people. Kids in the Xbox room were playing hockey on a huge screen. Dozens of people were playing with laptops and tablets. There were a half dozen people at the service area. One was telling anyone who would listen how bad the Geeks at Best Buy are. The Microsoft Store was pretty vibrant for a Saturday night in February. This is, of course, completely anecdotal -- two stores in one mall in one city on one night -- but I think it speaks to the concern that Apple needs to innovate. |
02-04-2013, 11:48 AM | #7 |
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@wizwor: You don't really expect Apple to let you play for free? Or let you listen to music for free without having you buy a new iPod first?
Also remember, Win8 is brand new. Maybe under the hood it is nothing new, but the GUI is completely redone. New things in iOS? Nah, it is so perfect, why confuse anybody with something innovative. For all we know the changes in a new iOS could be revolutionary and all, and nothing at all new in Win8, BUT with brand new GUI Win8 is the next best thing, while iOS is just same old, same old, play it safe. |
02-04-2013, 12:05 PM | #8 |
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They used to. The Apple Store is near where Santa sets up each year, so I have spent some time in there. I'll concede that Santa may have been the draw (that's why I was there), but there were people in the store. They had low tables so kids could play games on the Apple computers. It's just different now at the Apple Store.
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02-04-2013, 01:56 PM | #9 |
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Honestly, I am surprised that Apple isn't trying a little harder to be nicer.
Maybe they will sell an Nice Apple App. That could help. |
02-04-2013, 03:47 PM | #10 | |
Seriously?
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The first thing I thought after reading your post was 'Who the hell goes to the mall on a Saturday night?' (Not directing this ? at you personally, just in general.) Tweens and teens too young to drive, the poor parents of same, and people out for some free entertainment, such as people watching? Certainly not the younger, social (probably what most around here would call 'hip'), and creative types who have always been pegged as the core Apple customer (happy accident, not intended). Its also worth mentioning (to me, anyway) that with all the different activities you noticed at the Windows shop you never mentioned anyone actually buying anything. |
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02-04-2013, 03:50 PM | #11 |
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02-04-2013, 04:27 PM | #12 | ||
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I was surprised to find people at either store in February -- not Christmas, not back to school -- but I would have expected to see people at the Apple Store with the launch of the 128g Retina iPad only days away. I was at the customer service desk which is where people pay for stuff and I did have to wait for assistance. The BB-hater was getting a Dell laptop serviced and someone was buying something -- I don't know what because it was in a box I did not recognize. I wasn't there to buy. I was shopping. Happened to be in the mall for another reason and stopped in with my youngest to put hands on hardware. I would speculate most of the people in the store were there for the same reason. That translates into interest and, usually, eventually, to sales. If you want to touch a hundred laptops, the Microsoft Store is the only place to do it. Ditto on the tabs. So, maybe people will not wait in line for a 128g Retina iPad? Quote:
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02-04-2013, 04:42 PM | #13 |
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Ironically, I just got an email inviting me to preview at my local Microsoft Store on 2/9/13. I might.
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02-04-2013, 07:30 PM | #14 |
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02-04-2013, 08:00 PM | #15 |
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It's the Surface Pro, so I suspect they will be comparing it to laptops, ultralights, and tabs. In my experience, Microsoft has ignored Apple.
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