I'd say we'll know in 4-6 weeks (i.e., end of April). By then, there should be fresh inventory, or a new device announced (even if it's not ready for delivery at that time). If neither happens by the end of April, we perhaps can start planning memorial services, with or without the Froyo update in our hands. If the parrot is silent and shows no sign of life for a decent period, one starts to suspect it has passed, has expired, is no more.