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Apple would have to miss a lot of boats to lose their loyal following, and Android has spread and diversified so much it would be hard to kill. I don't think either of them is going anywhere any time soon. I could see Windows picking up some phone/tablet marketshare in the next year or so, but not enough to make Apple or Google sweat (not that Google has much invested in the success of the Android platform, anyway--it's already served their purpose of keeping them in the mobile ad game and keeping any one company from getting to build the mobile web).
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