I don't think Windows Mobile 8 will really change anything to be honest I think BB10 is actually more interesting and that's not saying much, Microsofts never really been very good in the mobile market I don't expect that to change and I find tiles very unappealing and boring to be honest.
I'd say the only other mobile OS that could even threaten is Samsungs own Tizen/Bada which looks like it could actually replace Android pretty well in a few years.
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