Microsoft has given every indication that the Metro/Modern interface is the future and are pushing it hard. The app store just hit 100,000 apps, not bad in less than a year.
8.1 helps a great deal with reducing the need to use the desktop and ties the whole experience together better. I'd imagine by 9 the desktop won't be needed at all. However, some things are still simply better on a desktop. Like file management and Office. That's why I really like RT despite the flaws. The Pro is simply too large and expensive for a 10" tablet. It fits a much more specific need than the RT, which is all the computer most of the general population needs for personal use (provided the apps keep coming).
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