Originally Posted by Nathanael
Microsoft isn't going away any time soon. But if it doesn't figure out how to catch the mobile wave (and it doesn't have a promising track record), it's looking at a long, slow decline into irrelevancy.
Typing on a tablet is just plain slower than typing on a keyboard. And, for most people, voice recognition errors are still much too frustrating. So there is a limit how far the shift from desktop to laptop to tablet will go.
Twenty years from now, I predict that tablets will be a low-end dollar store item, while the PC, probably mouse-less, is still going strong. If you say no one can predict the future like I just did, I can't much argue. But it's at least as good as any prediction based on taking current trends and projecting them into the future.
* This is from a highly positive Surface review:
Within an hour or so I was hitting 80% of my regular typing speed on it, and it's firm enough to be used on a lap without too much loss of accuracy.
In other words, Surface reduced his data entry speed 20 percent. And isn't the iPad even worse there?