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Old 10-05-2012, 08:06 PM   #16
bobcdy
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Nowlan was pretty impressive in that regard, but recently there were some posts on MR about Isaac Asimov. Several posters pointed out he also correctly predicted many of the changes that have taken place in technology, but that he missed many others.

None of the sci-fi authors of the pre-1950s (as far as I know) predicted the fantastic advances in many tech applications such as computers, not only as desktops etc, but as components in so many other applications such as automobiles, because of the replacement of vacuum tubes by transistors and then by integrated circuits. Also many of these early authors foresaw advances such as interplanetary space travel, but the spaceship pilots in their stories still used slide rules!

I read somewhere that predictions about the future are always wrong regardless of who makes the predictions, because no one can predict what will be the apparently random new developments such as transisitors.
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