I ordered on Thursday afternoon and received a tracking number Thu pm, and Amazon shows the order status as shipped and in transit. But when I track it on UPS, it says only that the shipping label has been generated -- no entry yet for being picked up or moved anywhere. I've had UPS orders show up before that never displayed any tracking progress (the screen showed the item as still in New Jersey when I was holding it). Sometimes it's an out-of-stock item that never ships despite having a label printed. All will become clear in the fullness of time.

Edit: Oh yeah, I don't worry about losing the cash -- this seller does a LOT of business on Amazon, most of it to rave reviews (and most of the complaints are about UPS-related issues), so they're not going skip town with anybody's 200 bucks.